The economic crisis has alerted China! In 2015, China has a clear goal in the direction of manufacturing, that is, intelligent manufacturing!
In the current world competition pattern, only by upgrading the manufacturing level and pushing China's manufacturing industry as a whole to the level of intelligent manufacturing, China will truly have the opportunity to become a manufacturing power, and the Chinese economy will maintain a strong development momentum for a long time.
Under the framework of intelligent manufacturing, what are the statuses of machine tools, robots, and 3D printing, and what are the prospects? Let's talk about our views below.
First, the machine tool is still the core of intelligent manufacturingIn the past 2015, the hottest word in manufacturing is "robot"!
The reason why "robot" is fired has its specific reasons in China. It can be summarized in the following three aspects:
1. There is a structural shortage in the Chinese labor force
To say that "structural shortage" is not a real shortage, but it is only for some reasons. The most important thing is that after 90 years, the overall dislike of physical work and blue-collar identity has led to such a complicated reason. The root cause is The impetuousness of the whole society and the brilliance of the trend of comparison have led to the phenomenon of incomplete employment in the society and the difficulty in recruiting workers in the manufacturing industry.
In order to solve the urgent need, the “robot†is naturally the preferred alternative solution.
2. Labor costs are rising rapidly, companies are overwhelmed, and instead seek robots instead of labor.
It is an indisputable fact that the labor cost continues to increase, and it is not necessary to repeat them. Even in the context of the economic downturn, it has not slowed down.
3. The company is under pressure to improve efficiency and seeks to improve the level of automation.
The long-term low-level competition pattern of China's manufacturing industry has not changed. The decline in total social demand has led to fierce competition. “Survival or death†is a serious option that cannot be avoided. Under this scenario, increasing production efficiency and reducing production costs have become new urgent needs, and “robots†naturally become a means of competition.
However, in the foreseeable time, the robot cannot become the core of intelligent manufacturing. At best, it is the link of intelligent manufacturing. The robot can't improve the quality of the product. The key factor in determining the quality of the metal processing industry is still the “machine toolâ€! To take a step back, the role of machine tools in manufacturing is still irreplaceable.
The popularity of “robots†will become flatter with the gradual deepening of automation instead of artificialization. When the proportion of robots used in China’s manufacturing industry catches up with developed countries (this process will not be too long, in the style of Chinese people’s work. Inferred that 10 years is enough), people will refocus their attention on the "machine tool" industry, because the "machine tool industry" has long been dragging the hind legs of China's manufacturing industry is a problem to be solved!
Second, 3D printing will become an important category of machine tools, the future is limitlessAlthough 3D printing technology is a processing method that has been ignited in recent years, its development process can be said to be not short. The reason why it suddenly fired was because Europe and the United States made great progress in 3D printing technology, and made significant progress in actual processing.
As of today, 3D printing can still be regarded as a new thing, so it must follow the development rhythm of new things, that is, the initial development is slow, once there is a breakthrough in technology, the situation will open quickly; now, we have faintly felt : This day is coming!
The key to restricting 3D printing technology is materials. With the breakthrough of material technology, 3D printing will exert an incalculable force and will largely rewrite the manufacturing structure.
China's bleak prospects in 3D printing technology will be unavoidable, which is exactly the same as the backwardness of the machine tool industry. So far, China's backwardness in materials science will eventually repeat itself in 3D printing technology!
Third, the gap between China's machine tool industry and the world's advanced countries is not narrowing, but growing! In the past 10 years, the Chinese machine tool industry seems to have made great progress, but in fact it has been farther and farther away from developed countries, with my estimate of more than 50 years.
The backward performance of China's machine tool industry is a commonplace. Although it is not new, it can be said again:
1. Processing accuracy is limited;
2. Stability cannot be improved for a long time;
3. There are no major breakthroughs in key technologies and long-term dependence on imports;
4. The level of automation is low.
There are many reasons why China's machine tool industry does not live up to expectations. The overall results are as follows:
1. The social atmosphere is impetuous, no one is willing to immerse themselves in the research and development of new technologies;
2. The education system is seriously mismatched and talents are scarce;
3. The society has never cultivated the spirit of craftsmen, and the whole society has done things perfunctory;
4. In the machine tool industry: large enterprises are bragging about doing things, and small and medium-sized enterprises are unable to engage in research and development;
5. The government does not attach importance to the protection of intellectual property rights, and the whole society believes in “takenism†or even “stolenismâ€;
Fourth, China's intelligent manufacturing needs to be effective quickly, and the introduction of European and American technology is a helpless choice.The Chinese government has vigorously promoted "Made in China 2025" and "supply-side reform", and wants to achieve "intelligent manufacturing" in the near future. Its heart is good, but the Chinese machine tool industry does not give force! For the present, the introduction of advanced technology in Europe and America is an option.
In addition to the introduction of technology, China still has a lot of things to do, all of which are hard bones, such as:
1. The government's transformation of the exaggerated wind is the wind of hard work, leading the whole society to be down-to-earth and proud of the manufacturing industry!
2. Cultivate the craftsman spirit! This is easier said than done, it’s hard to do! Is the time for a generation enough? Or a few generations? The future is unknown!
3. Reform of the education system, with the revitalization of manufacturing as the leading factor, encourage learning to use!
4. Reduce the burden on the enterprise, let the enterprise have the financial resources to engage in research and development!
5. Pay attention to the protection of intellectual property rights and crack down on infringements!
Being able to do one of them is already a great fortune, and I dare not expect too much.
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