Following the first consecutive two consecutive years of PCT patent applications worldwide, ZTE Corporation today released the telecom industry trend report for the first time. The report pointed out that IT (information technology) and CT (communication technology), as two branches of information technology, in the process of increasing integration, with the emergence and rapid spread of portable intelligent terminals represented by the two camps of IOS and Android, further Put the M (Mobile) tag. M (Mobile) brings not only the convenience of voice and data services, but also more revolutionary impact. The development of ICT technology has ushered in a new qualitative change, and the M-ICT era has arrived.
According to the analysis of the report, in the era of M-ICT, “service is everywhere†and “experience first†are two long-term important labels. From the perspective of M-ICT, we will look at the development of information technology. In the future, the industry will mainly present ten development trends: business access is everywhere; next-generation smart terminals will be more intelligent, flexible, and expand to wearable; M-based realization of "services everywhere"; enterprise-class mobile applications are in the ascendant; broadband speeds continue to move forward; "cloud, intelligent" networks become inevitable; mobile video detonates mobile digital floods, which will lead to a new traffic management model; The relational digital ecosystem will profoundly change the operational mode of information services; the physical world will interface with the virtual digital world, and the user experience will be supreme; network security will become the focus of long-term technology and society.
The following is the full report:
"Services are everywhere." With the popularity of smart terminals, under the support of wireless broadband networks, people have made major changes in all aspects of personal life such as travel, shopping, social, entertainment, and business operations and working methods represented by mobile office. The change. In fact, most of the functions that people enjoy today are already available on fixed terminals, but at that time we experienced “progress†rather than “changeâ€. Similar functions or services, under the influence of the M factor, have a very different impact, making the service truly "ubiquitous", and this "everywhere" has fundamentally changed our lives and jobs.
"Experience first". In the past, ICT technology mainly provided voice services for ordinary users and high-end services for professional elite users. Today, M-ICT technology provides almost omnipresent and all-encompassing services for all users. These services go beyond the intuitive metrics commonly used in the ICT field and must be differentiated by the user's “experienceâ€.
In the M-ICT era, “services are everywhere†and “experience first†are long-term important labels. The traditional ICT industry is still developing rapidly, triggering a new round of changes in finance, transportation, energy and power, education, medical and other industries. To better serve human society, we must face and solve many new and old problems:
How to effectively reduce the IT cost of enterprises while meeting the needs of enterprise mobile office?
How to continuously meet the core requirements of the continuous improvement of the service experience of the majority of users?
How to design a more reasonable new business model, so that all parties in the industry, including operators, can make reasonable profits and escape the curse of "scissors difference"?
Under the reality that the whole society is increasingly dependent on network services, how to deal with the increasingly severe network security challenges?
In the face of the development of new technologies and the evolution of the network, as well as these problems faced by the entire industry, we observe the following trends:
First, business access is everywhere
Not only smart phones and Pad-type smart terminals are developing, but with the wirelessization of the "last segment" access technology represented by WLAN technology, cable broadband access continues to exist, but will be directly provided from the past. Into the transition to provide wireless access point services. In the office, home, road, airport, high-speed rail, aircraft and other places, 3G/4G/WLAN integrated wireless access will provide flexible, reliable and seamless wireless access for the users in the next few years. Enter the environment and continue to grow to more broadband.
Second, the next generation of intelligent terminals will be more intelligent, flexible, and expand to the wearable direction
The CPU of the smartphone is from 2 cores, 4 cores to 8 cores, and the computing and processing capabilities of the smart terminals are getting stronger and stronger. Wearable devices such as smart glasses and smart watches are on the market, and show the prospect of a huge imagination, although it is still not clear. Technologies such as flexible screens and flexible batteries have made important progress, making the performance of smart terminals more flexible. The rapid start of HTML5 is expected to completely break the "walled garden mode" of the APP Store. Web and APP will coexist for a long time.
Third, the M-form of service delivery methods truly realizes that "services are everywhere"
Relying on seamless wireless access environment and increasingly powerful and flexible intelligent terminals, relying on the rapid development of cloud computing technology, in the M-ICT era, the development trend of services will be ubiquitous. Mobile office, information sharing, social interaction, e-commerce, and connected finance will further enrich the good life of human beings by providing users with easy access anywhere, anytime, and getting a perfect experience.
Fourth, enterprise-class mobile applications are in the ascendant
The rapid development of broadband wireless access and intelligent terminals not only provides the convenience of mobile office. Under the support of the ubiquitous broadband network and the continuous improvement of security technologies, combined with the Internet of Things technology, the successful development of key business and the core application of successful enterprises will conform to the characteristics of the M-ICT era. , covering all aspects of business management and management. This will not only enhance the operation and production efficiency of modern enterprises, but also promote the progress of the whole society. It will also provide a large blue ocean in the mobile Internet market for relevant ICT companies.
Fifth, broadband speed continues to move forward
The torrent of numbers is driving the rapid growth of all levels of the network infrastructure, from access to the core, from wireless to wired. The demand for bandwidth increase drives the backbone network to evolve to 100G and 100G, and the access network cable broadband rate will always maintain a higher than the wireless access rate by more than one order. A single speed-up technology will always encounter bottlenecks in development, but there will always be additional technological innovations that allow communication bandwidth to move forward in accordance with Moore's Law to match the development of information processing, providing unimpeded communication between the constantly evolving information. Connecting channels makes people closer to society and nature. ?
Sixth, "cloud, intelligent" network becomes inevitable
Mobile intelligent terminals, cloud applications, etc. will continue to generate explosive growth in data traffic, bringing tremendous pressure on the carrier network under the background of “scissors differenceâ€. After the concept of SDN and NFV has been hyped, it will begin to get applications, network convergence, software definition, cloud, virtualization and intelligence, and gradually become the leading force leading the next round of network technology change. Cloud Radio, Cloud EPC, optical and packet network convergence, SDN, cloud storage, virtual desktops, smart terminals, cloud applications, etc., have become the "secret" for operators, government and enterprise customers to significantly reduce network equipment and operating costs.
Seven, mobile video detonated mobile digital flood, will give birth to a new flow business model
According to ZTE's strategic research, mobile video data traffic is expected to account for more than 70% of mobile data traffic by 2020. It is expected that in the next few years, mobile multimedia services will be rapidly developed, and "SD, HD to Ultra HD" will become the inevitable pursuit of video quality. Mobile video detonates digital floods, which will surely give operators a new traffic management model. Under the mobile digital flood, how to provide better traffic package services for individuals and businesses, and transform huge traffic into commercial value, which is the core of the operator's traffic business model innovation.
8. The relational digital ecosystem will profoundly change the operational model of information services.
The digital age has built a world of connectivity between people, people and things, things and things. Any individual, enterprise or even machine may be both a consumer of information services and a provider of information services. A new relational digital ecosystem. This ecosystem provides individuals and businesses with a “supermarket†for information service transactions. The owners of “supermarkets†provide basic networks, operations, channels and brands, while providing a business model of shared benefits. This will completely change the situation in which existing enterprises only provide their own capabilities, and will also profoundly affect the organizational structure, business processes and operational support systems of information service operators.
Nine, the physical world and the virtual digital world dock, the user "experience first"
The physical world and the digital world will use information as a link. The value links and production factors of the office, shopping, medical, education, entertainment, transportation, social and other industries will flood into the mobile Internet industry. Building a "physical map" on the Internet, moving the physical world to the Internet, combining the digital world and the physical world into one, forming a virtualized mapping for all devices in the physical world on the network, and implementing it through virtual augmented reality technology. The natural perception between people and things allows the interaction between human beings, people and people, things and things to be closer to the nature of human behavior.
Ten, network security will become a long-term focus of technology and society
Internet virtual society has the characteristics of occult, rapid communication and open interaction, which can lead to cyber fraud based on virtual identity. In peer-to-peer information dissemination, personal privacy, financial property information, etc. are also easier to use social tools and e-commerce tools on mobile phones. Wait for the leak. In the era of M-ICT, in the context of "services are everywhere", the security of the network will become more prominent, and in the future development of network technology, it will undoubtedly receive more attention. However, when the network needs to serve all aspects of social life, its inevitable requirement for openness will lead to the solution of network security problems. It is difficult to have a solution once and for all. This will be A long-term focus of technology and society.
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